The US Treasury’s gold reserves have supposedly smashed through the $1 trillion mark—more than 90 times the amount recorded on the government’s balance sheet—as the precious metal hits yet another all-time high.
The world’s largest stash of bullion crossed the line after prices soared beyond $3,824.50 an ounce on Monday, capping a 45% rise this year. Yet, on paper, Washington insists its hoard is worth just over $11 billion, thanks to a quaint 1973 congressional decision to keep valuing it at $42.22 an ounce. That’s right: the same government that lectures the world on transparency runs its books with 50-year-old fairy-tale pricing.
The surge reflects classic safe-haven flows: investors seeking shelter from trade wars, geopolitical tensions, and the ever-present risk of a US government funding crisis. ETF inflows and the Fed’s renewed appetite for rate cuts have only added fuel.
Earlier this year, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent casually floated the idea of revaluing reserves at market prices, unleashing speculation about a sudden windfall of hundreds of billions. He later dismissed the notion, and Bloomberg reported the idea was never “seriously considered”,—which is Washington code for “we thought about it until the lawyers screamed.”
Unlike most nations, the US doesn’t even pretend its central bank owns the bullion. The gold belongs directly to the government; the Fed merely holds certificates against it and credits Washington with dollars. In theory, a revaluation would hand the Treasury a fresh $990 billion to play with—nearly half of the current $1.97 trillion federal budget deficit, itself already historic outside of the pandemic years.
Tempting? Certainly. Sensible? Perhaps not. Such a move would ripple through the financial system, pumping liquidity while further mangling the Fed’s balance sheet. But since when has long-term stability ever stopped short-term fiscal opportunism in Washington?
For now, the hoard remains buried in places like Fort Knox—yes, the same Fort Knox Trump and Musk suggested earlier this year might not actually contain any gold at all. Trump even promised to check personally: “If the gold’s not there, we’ll be very disappointed,” he quipped, in a rare moment of understatement.
Roughly half of the 261.5 million ounces sit under lock and key in Kentucky, with the rest divided between West Point, Denver, and a vault 24 metres beneath the Fed in Lower Manhattan. Conspiracy theories about missing gold may be entertaining. Still, the real sleight of hand is hiding a trillion-dollar asset on the balance sheet at the price of a 1970s family sedan.
So here’s the paradox: the US controls the world’s most enormous pile of bullion, yet stubbornly refuses to admit what it’s really worth. As deficits balloon and fiscal ceilings creak, the question isn’t whether Washington can afford to revalue—it’s how long it can keep pretending it doesn’t need to.