GLOBAL MACRO INSIGHTS

China Strikes Back: Critical Metal Ban Exposes U.S. Vulnerabilities

China has escalated the ongoing tech and trade war with the U.S. by banning exports of critical high-tech and military-use metals, including gallium, germanium, and...

Emerging Markets Face the Heat: Trump’s Tariffs, Dollar Strength, and Bond Woes

The outlook for emerging market bonds denominated in local currencies is deteriorating as investors abandon hopes of rate cuts, brace for a potential trade war,...

China’s Trade Surplus Hits New Heights, Setting the Stage for Global Tensions

China’s trade surplus is on track to hit a record high this year, putting it increasingly on a collision course with some of the world’s...

Emerging Markets Caught in the Crossfire: Fed Missteps, Trump Risks, and China’s Faltering

Emerging market assets are once again feeling the squeeze, caught in the crossfire of U.S. Federal Reserve missteps, Donald Trump’s unpredictable ambitions, and China’s underwhelming...

FED cut: a Headache for Emerging Markets

As Jerome Powell confidently takes a deep breath and slashes US interest rates in a bold bid to keep the American economy afloat, emerging markets...

China’s Housing Market: A Tough Sell Even for the Government

In May, China’s central government urged more than 200 cities to purchase unsold homes to reduce the surplus supply. Fast-forward three months, and only 29...

When the Bull Goes to Pasture: China’s Stock Market Slump

China’s stock market is giving investors more drama than a soap opera—and not the fun kind. The mounting sell-off in Chinese stocks is deepening what...

China is becoming a new “Japanese deflation case”

China’s economic woes deepen as deflation takes root, posing an urgent threat to the prospects of the world’s second-largest economy. Despite the government’s attempts to...

China’s Secret Currency Play: Banks Take the Hit, Investors Cash In

China’s state banks are walking a financial tightrope, exposing themselves to billions of dollars in potential losses while savvy investors quietly make easy profits. The...