Ceasefire in Name, Crisis in Reality
The war has entered that familiar and dangerous phase in which everyone claims to want peace, while acting as if escalation remains the more useful...
Tag: Donald Trump
Ceasefire, Yes. Control, No.
Washington would like the world to believe that the worst is over. The reality is less comforting. A fragile pause has been announced, diplomats are...
Middle-East: Ceasefire, Peace, or a Joke?
What has been announced is not peace. It is a pause. After six weeks of war, thousands of deaths, a global energy shock and repeated...
Held Rates, Rising Risks
The bond market has stopped dreaming of rescue. A few weeks ago, investors were still clinging to the idea that the Federal Reserve would ride...
Oil Whitout Exit
Saudi Arabia has raised the price of its flagship crude for Asia to a record premium. That single move says more about the state of...
Victory? May be but Without Control
Donald Trump went on television to declare that the war was nearly over. Markets heard something else entirely. Five weeks into a conflict that was...
The Empire of Threats Meets the Price of Reality
The war has entered its second month, and what is becoming visible now is not American strength, but American exposure. Over the weekend, missile strikes...
The Quiet War Behind the War: the Chinese strategy
There is the conflict everyone sees — missiles, oil, ships stalled in narrow waters. And then there is the other one, slower, colder, infinitely more...
Peace by Rumour, War by Design
The war now advances on two fronts: one of missiles, the other of fiction. Washington insists that talks are underway. Tehran denies them. The White...